Indicator
|
Weekly
Level / Change
|
Implication
for
S
& P 500
|
Implication
for Nifty*
|
S
& P 500
|
2873, 4.41%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Nifty
|
11871,
-0.44%
|
Neutral
**
|
Neutral
|
China
Shanghai Index
|
2828, -2.45%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Gold
|
1345, 2.99%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
WTIC Crude
|
54.05,
1.03%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Copper
|
2.62, -0.00%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Baltic
Dry Index
|
1138, 3.83%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Euro
|
1.1333,
1.47%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Dollar/Yen
|
108.20,
-0.03%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Dow
Transports
|
10141,
4.13%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
High
Yield (Bond)
|
107.61,
1.38%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
US 10
year Bond Yield
|
2.08%,
-1.91%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Nyse
Summation Index
|
235, 13.17%
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
US Vix
|
16.30,
-12.88%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Skew
|
115
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
20
DMA, S and P 500
|
2827, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
50
DMA, S and P 500
|
2871, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
200
DMA, S and P 500
|
2775, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
20
DMA, Nifty
|
11683,
Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
50
DMA, Nifty
|
11640,
Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
200
DMA, Nifty
|
11080,
Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
India
Vix
|
14.86,
-7.53%
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
Dollar/Rupee
|
69.39,
-0.27%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Overall
|
S
& P 500
|
Nifty
|
|
Bullish
Indications
|
13
|
13
|
|
Bearish
Indications
|
1
|
1
|
|
Outlook
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
|
Observation
|
The S
and P 500 was up and the Nifty was unchanged last week. Indicators are bullish
for the week.
The
markets are on the verge of a great depression
style collapse. Watch those stops.
|
||
On the
Horizon
|
US – PPI, CPI, UK – GDP, Employment
data, Japan – GDP
|
||
*Nifty
|
India’s
Benchmark Stock Market Index
|
||
Raw
Data
|
Courtesy
Stock charts, investing.com
|
||
**Neutral
|
Changes
less than 0.5% are considered neutral
|
The S and P 500 was up and the Nifty was unchanged last week.
Indicators are bullish for the upcoming week. QE forever from the FED is about to trigger
the deflationary collapse of the century and we are very close to another top
in global equity markets. The market has
established a major secondary top. The trend is changing from bullish to
bearish. Looking for significant under performance in the Nifty going forward
on rapidly deteriorating macros. A 5
year deflationary wave is about to start in key asset classes like the
Euro, stocks and commodities amidst a number of bearish divergences and
Hindenburg omens. We are on the verge
of a multi-year great depression. The
markets are still trading well over 3 standard deviations above their long term
averages from which corrections usually result. Tail risk has been very high
off late as the yield curve inverts.
The critical levels to watch for the week
are 2890 (up) and 2860 (down) on the S & P 500 and 11950 (up) and 11800
(down) on the Nifty. A significant breach of the above
levels could trigger the next big move in the above markets. You can check out
last week’s report for
a comparison. Love your thoughts and feedback.
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