Indicator
|
Weekly
Level / Change
|
Implication
for
S
& P 500
|
Implication
for Nifty*
|
S
& P 500
|
2295, 1.03%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Nifty
|
8641, 3.50%
|
Neutral**
|
Bullish
|
China
Shanghai Index
|
3159, 1.15%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Gold
|
1188, -1.37%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
WTIC
Crude
|
53.17, -0.09%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Copper
|
2.69, 2.46%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Baltic
Dry Index
|
827, -10.59%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Euro
|
1.070, -0.03%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Dollar/Yen
|
115.08, 0.44%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Dow
Transports
|
9444, 2.38%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
High
Yield (ETF)
|
37.00, 0.68%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
US
10 year Bond Yield
|
2.48%, 0.57%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Nyse
Summation Index
|
682, 8.73%
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
US
Vix
|
10.58, -8.32%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
20
DMA, S and P 500
|
2272, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
50
DMA, S and P 500
|
2245, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
200
DMA, S and P 500
|
2156, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
20
DMA, Nifty
|
8355, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
50
DMA, Nifty
|
8201, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
200
DMA, Nifty
|
8327, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
India
Vix
|
16.00, 1.36%
|
Neutral
|
Bearish
|
Dollar/Rupee
|
68.09, -0.00%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Overall
|
S
& P 500
|
Nifty
|
|
Bullish
Indications
|
10
|
10
|
|
Bearish
Indications
|
3
|
4
|
|
Outlook
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
|
Observation
|
The
S and P 500 and the Nifty rallied last week. Indicators are bullish.
The
Trump bounce is largely over. Time to watch those stops.
|
||
On
the Horizon
|
China
- PMI, Japan – Rate decision, New Zealand - Employment data, Euro zone – CPI,
German employment data, CPI, UK – Rate decision, Canada – GDP, U.S – Personal
consumption data, ISM data, Consumer confidence, FOMC rate decision, Employment
data, India - Union budget 2017
|
||
*Nifty
|
India’s
Benchmark Stock Market Index
|
||
Raw
Data
|
Courtesy
Google finance, Stock charts, dailyfx.com
|
||
**Neutral
|
Changes less than 0.5% are considered
neutral
|
The S and P 500 the Nifty moved up last week. Signals are bullish for the upcoming week. Possible FED rate hikes are yet to be priced in and sentiment indicators are back in complacent mode. Bond yields are surging back up. The critical levels to watch are 2310 (up) and 2290 (down) on the S & P and 8700 (up) and 8600 (down) on the Nifty. A significant breach of the above levels could trigger the next big move in the above markets. You can check out last week’s report for a comparison. Love your thoughts and feedback.
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