Here are some insights from the currency strategists at dailyfx.
They cover the fundamentals and technicals of key Forex pairs and other
key markets along with some of the key economic news of the day.
Today's commentary looks at the outlook for the forex majors in 2017:
Thursday, 29 December 2016
Wednesday, 28 December 2016
Daily Forex Insight
Here are some insights from the currency strategists at dailyfx.
They cover the fundamentals and technicals of key Forex pairs and other
key markets along with some of the key economic news of the day.
Today's commentary looks at some key risks ahead for markets in 2017:
Tuesday, 27 December 2016
Daily Forex Insight
Here are some insights from the currency strategists at dailyfx. They cover the fundamentals and technicals of key Forex pairs and other key markets along with some of the key economic news of the day. Today's commentary looks at the increasing volatility in the Euro, Yen and the Pound:
Sunday, 25 December 2016
Market Signals for the US stock market S and P 500 Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the Week beginning December 26
Indicator
|
Weekly Level / Change
|
Implication for
S & P 500
|
Implication for Nifty*
|
S & P 500
|
2264, 0.25%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Nifty
|
7986, -1.89%
|
Neutral**
|
Bearish
|
China Shanghai Index
|
3110, -0.41%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Gold
|
1134, -0.33%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
WTIC Crude
|
53.02, 0.13%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Copper
|
2.48, -3.33%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Baltic Dry Index
|
961, 1.59%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Euro
|
1.045, 0.01%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Dollar/Yen
|
117.33, -0.53%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Dow Transports
|
9191, 0.25%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
High Yield (ETF)
|
36.66, 1.02%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
US 10 year Bond Yield
|
2.54%, -2.08%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Nyse Summation Index
|
467, 15.98%
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
US Vix
|
11.44, -6.23%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
20 DMA, S and P 500
|
2239, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
50 DMA, S and P 500
|
2186, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
200 DMA, S and P 500
|
2132, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
20 DMA, Nifty
|
8137, Below
|
Neutral
|
Bearish
|
50 DMA, Nifty
|
8304, Below
|
Neutral
|
Bearish
|
200 DMA, Nifty
|
8240, Below
|
Neutral
|
Bearish
|
India Vix
|
15.13, -0.82%
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
Dollar/Rupee
|
67.84, -0.02%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Overall
|
S & P 500
|
Nifty
|
|
Bullish Indications
|
9
|
5
|
|
Bearish Indications
|
2
|
6
|
|
Outlook
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
|
Observation
|
The S and P 500 was unchanged and the
Nifty fell last week. Indicators are mixed.
The Trump bounce is largely over.
Time to watch those stops.
|
||
On the Horizon
|
Japan – CPI, U.S – Consumer
confidence, Trade balance
|
||
*Nifty
|
India’s Benchmark Stock Market Index
|
||
Raw Data
|
Courtesy Google finance, Stock
charts, dailyfx.com
|
||
**Neutral
|
Changes less than 0.5% are considered
neutral
|
The
S and P 500 was unchanged and the Nifty fell last week. Signals are mixed for
the upcoming week. The FED rate hike is yet to be priced in and sentiment
indicators are back in complacent mode. Risky segments of the market like
emerging markets are breaking down on broad dollar strength. The critical levels
to watch are 2270 (up) and 2250 (down) on the S & P and 8100 (up) and 7900
(down) on the Nifty. A significant breach of the above levels could trigger the
next big move in the above markets. You can check out last week’s report for
a comparison. Love your thoughts and feedback.
Wednesday, 21 December 2016
Daily Forex Insight
Here are some insights from the currency strategists at dailyfx.
They cover the fundamentals and technicals of key Forex pairs and other
key markets along with some of the key economic news of the day.
Today's commentary looks at the trends in play that may continue till year end:
Tuesday, 20 December 2016
Daily Forex Insight
Here are some insights from the currency strategists at dailyfx.
They cover the fundamentals and technicals of key Forex pairs and other
key markets along with some of the key economic news of the day.
Today's commentary looks at the impact of recent monetary policy action on the Euro and the Yen:
How to Protect Your Retirement Funds from Tax Erosion
There is a popular myth that suggests that the stock market is only
for professionals and investing is rather complicated. This has forced
several investors to shy away from the stock market. Thus most ordinary
investors tend to over look the proven way of beating inflation and
protecting their retirement savings from tax erosion. A systematic
investment plan popularly referred to as the SIP dispels this myth and
provides a way for the ordinary investor to make extraordinary amounts
of money over a period of time.
Inflation and taxes greatly erode individuals disposable income and
hence their propensity to save. While it is possible to achieve
inflation adjusted returns through certain investments the investor may
still be required to pay taxes on these returns. In facts most income
from investment products like stocks, bonds, real estate assets and even
pension income is taxable. Hence a proper tax planning strategy is
mandatory for investors.
This is where an SIP comes in.
The beauty of an SIP is that you don't have to invest huge money of money upfront. Instead you have an objective in mind and work towards it gradually. You pick a regular investment schedule and invest consistently in the market over time. This way you take the element of market timing out of investing and simply Rupee cost average over time.
The beauty of an SIP is that you don't have to invest huge money of money upfront. Instead you have an objective in mind and work towards it gradually. You pick a regular investment schedule and invest consistently in the market over time. This way you take the element of market timing out of investing and simply Rupee cost average over time.
If the market goes down you buy more and if it goes up you buy less.
Either way you systematically accumulate wealth over time.SIP's can be
done on a wide range of individual stocks and mutual funds. You can have
a SIP strategy based on your age and risk tolerance. Are you
considering buying a car or even a house? Maybe you are planning for
your retirement or are planning for an extended vacation. Regardless of
what your aspirations maybe the SIP may be the right investment for
you.
With a plethora of investment products out there it can be a rather
daunting task for the average investor to sift through all of them. Look
no further than one of India’s largest fund families Birla Sun Life.
The range of products offered by Birla Sun Life takes the guess work out
of investing. Recently Birla Sun Life rolled out their Sabse Important Plan (#BirlaSIP).
The Sabse Important Plan
(#BirlaSIP) helps you get familiar with the world of SIP investing and
gives you some unique SIP options on some world class investment
products run by some of the top asset managers in India. There are a
wide range of mutual funds available at your disposal on which you can
custom build your SIP. You can craft your own and unique asset
allocation strategy by checking out Birla Sun Life’s asset allocation
tool.
The Sabse Important Plan (#BirlaSIP) seeks to be your one stop shop for all your SIP needs. As an investor you get the following benefits:
a1) You accomplish your goals steadily over time.
b2) You accumulate significant wealth over time without worrying about the gyrations in the market.
c3) You Rupee cost average over time into some of India’s best mutual funds.
d4) You generate significant returns over time by taking relatively lower risk.
Monday, 19 December 2016
Daily Forex Insight
Here are some insights from the currency strategists at dailyfx.
They cover the fundamentals and technicals of key Forex pairs and other
key markets along with some of the key economic news of the day.
Today's commentary looks at the macro themes in play this week:
Sunday, 18 December 2016
Daily Forex Insight
Here are some insights from the currency strategists at dailyfx.
They cover the fundamentals and technicals of key Forex pairs and other
key markets along with some of the key economic news of the day.
Today's commentary looks at the S & P 500, Dollar and the Yen:
Market Signals for the US stock market S and P 500 Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the Week beginning December 19
Indicator
|
Weekly
Level / Change
|
Implication
for
S
& P 500
|
Implication
for Nifty*
|
S
& P 500
|
2258, -0.06%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Nifty
|
8140, -1.48%
|
Neutral**
|
Bearish
|
China
Shanghai Index
|
3123, -3.40%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Gold
|
1137, -2.11%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
WTIC
Crude
|
52.95, 2.82%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Copper
|
2.56, -3.14%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Baltic
Dry Index
|
946, -13.21%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Euro
|
1.045, -1.02%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Dollar/Yen
|
117.97, 2.34%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Dow
Transports
|
9168, -2.55%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
High
Yield (ETF)
|
36.29, -0.47%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
US
10 year Bond Yield
|
2.60%, 5.40%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Nyse
Summation Index
|
403, 16.66%
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
US
Vix
|
12.20, 3.83%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
20
DMA, S and P 500
|
2223, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
50
DMA, S and P 500
|
2174, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
200
DMA, S and P 500
|
2125, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
20
DMA, Nifty
|
8128, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
50
DMA, Nifty
|
8372, Below
|
Neutral
|
Bearish
|
200
DMA, Nifty
|
8214, Below
|
Neutral
|
Bearish
|
India
Vix
|
15.25, 1.23%
|
Neutral
|
Bearish
|
Dollar/Rupee
|
67.85, 0.56%
|
Neutral
|
Bearish
|
Overall
|
S
& P 500
|
Nifty
|
|
Bullish
Indications
|
6
|
3
|
|
Bearish
Indications
|
8
|
13
|
|
Outlook
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
|
Observation
|
The
S and P 500 was unchanged and the Nifty fell last week. Indicators are bearish.
The
Trump bounce is largely over. Time to watch those stops.
|
||
On
the Horizon
|
New
Zealand - GDP, Japan – Rate decision, U.S – GDP, durable goods, Canada – CPI,
GDP
|
||
*Nifty
|
India’s
Benchmark Stock Market Index
|
||
Raw
Data
|
Courtesy
Google finance, Stock charts, dailyfx.com
|
||
**Neutral
|
Changes less than 0.5% are considered
neutral
|
The S and
P 500 was unchanged and the Nifty fell last week. Signals are bearish for the
upcoming week. The FED rate hike is yet to be priced in and sentiment
indicators are back in complacent mode. Transports are beginning to under perform.
Bond yields have made a dramatic surge up and risky segments of the market like
emerging markets are breaking down on broad dollar strength. The critical
levels to watch are 2270 (up) and 2250 (down) on the S & P and 8200 (up)
and 8050 (down) on the Nifty. A significant breach of the above levels could
trigger the next big move in the above markets. You can check out last
week’s report for a comparison. Love your thoughts and feedback.