Indicator
|
Weekly Level / Change /
Significance
|
Implication for
S & P 500
|
Implication for Nifty*
|
S & P 500
|
2015, 3.26%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Nifty
|
8190, 3.05%
|
Neutral**
|
Bullish
|
China Shanghai Index
|
3183, 4.27%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Gold
|
1156, 1.58%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
WTIC Crude
|
49.50, 8.39%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Copper
|
2.42, 3.18%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Baltic Dry Index
|
809, -9.00%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Euro
|
1.1358, 1.32%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Dollar/Yen
|
120.22, 0.27%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Dow Transports
|
8253, 4.82%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
US 10 year Bond Yield
|
2.10%, 5.53%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Nyse Summation Index
|
-75, 83.42%
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
US Vix
|
17.08, -18.43%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
20 DMA, S and P 500
|
1957, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
50 DMA, S and P 500
|
1993, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
200 DMA, S and P 500
|
2062, Below
|
Bearish
|
Neutral
|
20 DMA, Nifty
|
7940, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
50 DMA, Nifty
|
8097, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
200 DMA, Nifty
|
8378, Below
|
Neutral
|
Bearish
|
India Vix
|
18.92, -1.61%
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
Dollar/Rupee
|
64.71,-0.78%
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
Overall
|
S & P 500
|
Nifty
|
|
Bullish Indications
|
11
|
13
|
|
Bearish Indications
|
3
|
3
|
|
Outlook
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
|
Observation
|
The Sand P 500 and the Nifty
were up last week. Indicators are bullish. The Vix is back in complacency mode.
We are entering a weak period for risk assets globally and declines are
likely in both indices in the upcoming months following this bounce.
|
||
On the Horizon
|
China loan data, China, US, UK and New Zealand CPI, US Fed Beige Book, Australia employment data, Euro zone ZEW sentiment survey, US retail sales and consumer confidence.
|
||
*Nifty
|
India’s
Benchmark Stock Market Index
|
||
Raw Data
|
Courtesy
Google finance, Stock charts, FXCM
|
||
**Neutral
|
Changes
less than 0.5% are considered neutral
|
Market Signals for the Nifty and S and P 500 for the week beginning October 5
http://t.co/n4W3XEtnOT pic.twitter.com/24leSBhKTq
— samuelR (@RajveerRawlin) October 11, 2015
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