Sunday 2 August 2015

Stock Market Signals for the US S and P 500 Index and Indian Stock Market Nifty Index for the Week beginning August 3

dow jones
Indicator
Weekly Level / Change / Significance
Implication for
S & P 500
Implication for Nifty*
S & P 500
2104, 1.16%
Bullish
Bullish
Nifty
8533, 0.13%
Neutral**
Neutral
China Shanghai Index
3664, -10.00%
Bearish
Bearish
Gold
1095, -0.31%
Neutral
Neutral
WTIC Crude
46.77, -2.48%
Bearish
Bearish
Copper
2.35, -1.51%
Bearish
Bearish
Baltic Dry Index
1131, 4.14%
Bullish
Bullish
Euro
1.0983, 0.08%
Neutral
Neutral
Dollar/Yen
123.92, 0.13%
Neutral
Neutral
Dow Transports
8392, 3.96%
Bullish
Bullish
US 10 year Bond Yield
2.21%, -2.91%
Bullish
Bullish
Nyse Summation Index
-339, -20.07%
Bearish
Neutral
US Vix
12.12, -11.79%
Bullish
Bullish
20 DMA, S and P 500
2096, Above
Bullish
Neutral
50 DMA, S and P 500
2099, Above
Bullish
Neutral
200 DMA, S and P 500
2068, Above
Bullish
Neutral
20 DMA, Nifty
8482, Above
Neutral
Bullish
50 DMA, Nifty
8343, Above
Neutral
Bullish
200 DMA, Nifty
8418, Above
Neutral
Bullish
India Vix
14.57, -5.74%
Neutral
Bullish
Dollar/Rupee
63.98, -0.19%
Neutral
Neutral




Overall
 S & P 500
Nifty

Bullish Indications
8
9

Bearish Indications
4
3

Outlook
Bullish
Bullish

Observation
The Sand P 500 rallied last week while the Nifty under performed. Indicators are bullish.
The Vix is indicating complacency.  Market cycles are not favorable into mid August, so I am looking for a top in the upcoming bounce.


On the Horizon
US Personal Consumption & ISM data, AUS, UK & India rate decisions, AUS, NZ, Canada and US employment data






*Nifty
India’s Benchmark Stock Index


Raw Data
Courtesy Google finance, Stock charts, Dailyfx


**Neutral
Changes less than 0.5% are considered neutral


Hottest Deals On Refurbished Apple Products | JemJem
 Lot of whipsaws off late. Signals are bullish for the upcoming week but market cycles are unfavorable into mid August so I will look for a top in the upcoming bounce. You can check out last weeks report for a comparison. You can also check out snapshots of the S and P 500 and Nifty Indices.

No comments:

Post a Comment