Indicator
|
Weekly Level / Change /
Significance
|
Implication for
S & P 500
|
Implication for Nifty*
|
S & P 500
|
2104, 1.16%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Nifty
|
8533, 0.13%
|
Neutral**
|
Neutral
|
China Shanghai Index
|
3664, -10.00%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Gold
|
1095, -0.31%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
WTIC Crude
|
46.77, -2.48%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Copper
|
2.35, -1.51%
|
Bearish
|
Bearish
|
Baltic Dry Index
|
1131, 4.14%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Euro
|
1.0983, 0.08%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Dollar/Yen
|
123.92, 0.13%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Dow Transports
|
8392, 3.96%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
US 10 year Bond Yield
|
2.21%, -2.91%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
Nyse Summation Index
|
-339, -20.07%
|
Bearish
|
Neutral
|
US Vix
|
12.12, -11.79%
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
20 DMA, S and P 500
|
2096, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
50 DMA, S and P 500
|
2099, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
200 DMA, S and P 500
|
2068, Above
|
Bullish
|
Neutral
|
20 DMA, Nifty
|
8482, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
50 DMA, Nifty
|
8343, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
200 DMA, Nifty
|
8418, Above
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
India Vix
|
14.57, -5.74%
|
Neutral
|
Bullish
|
Dollar/Rupee
|
63.98, -0.19%
|
Neutral
|
Neutral
|
Overall
|
S & P 500
|
Nifty
|
|
Bullish Indications
|
8
|
9
|
|
Bearish Indications
|
4
|
3
|
|
Outlook
|
Bullish
|
Bullish
|
|
Observation
|
The Sand P 500 rallied
last week while the Nifty under performed. Indicators are bullish.
The Vix is indicating
complacency. Market cycles are not
favorable into mid August, so I am looking for a top in the upcoming bounce.
|
||
On the Horizon
|
US Personal Consumption
& ISM data, AUS, UK & India rate decisions, AUS, NZ, Canada and US
employment data
|
||
*Nifty
|
India’s
Benchmark Stock Index
|
||
Raw Data
|
Courtesy
Google finance, Stock charts, Dailyfx
|
||
**Neutral
|
Changes
less than 0.5% are considered neutral
|
Lot of whipsaws off late. Signals are bullish for the upcoming week but market cycles are unfavorable into mid August so I will look for a top in the upcoming bounce. You can check out last weeks report for a comparison. You can also check out snapshots of the S and P 500 and Nifty Indices.
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