Saturday, 20 June 2015

Stock Market Signals for the US and Indian Stock Markets for the Upcoming Week beginning June 22

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Indicator
Weekly Level / Change / Significance
Implication for
S & P 500
Implication for Nifty*
S & P 500
2110, 0.76%
Bullish
Bullish
Nifty
8225, 3.03%
Neutral**
Bullish
China Shanghai Index
4478, -13.32%
Bearish
Bearish
Gold
1200, 1.63%
Bullish
Bullish
WTIC Crude
59.69, -0.42%
Neutral
Neutral
Copper
2.57, -3.83%
Bearish
Bearish
Baltic Dry Index
779, 21.34%
Bullish
Bullish
Euro
1.1365, 0.94%
Bullish
Bullish
Dollar/Yen
122.70, -0.95%
Bearish
Bearish
Dow Transports
8412,- 0.06%
Neutral
Neutral
US 10 year Bond Yield
2.27%, -4.95%
Bullish
Bullish
Nyse Summation Index
-199, -33%
Bearish
Neutral
US Vix
13.96, 1.31%
Bearish
Bearish
20 DMA, S and P 500
2104, Above
Bullish
Neutral
50 DMA, S and P 500
2106, Above
Bullish
Neutral
200 DMA, S and P 500
2050, Above
Bullish
Neutral
20 DMA, Nifty
8177, Above
Neutral
Bullish
50 DMA, Nifty
8302, Below
Neutral
Bearish
200 DMA, Nifty
8352, Below
Neutral
Bearish
India Vix
15.09, -13.69%
Neutral
Bullish
Dollar/Rupee
63.47, -0.98%
Neutral
Bullish




Overall
 S & P 500
Nifty

Bullish Indications
8
9

Bearish Indications
5
6

Outlook
Bullish
Bullish

Observation
The Sand P 500 rallied as expected last week while the Nifty outperformed significantly. The Vix is flashing warning signs. Market cycles are positive till July so a rally is likely next week.


On the Horizon
Greece negotiations, US, French and Italy Quarterly GDP, Japan CPI






*Nifty
India’s Benchmark Stock Index


Raw Data
Courtesy Google finance, Stock charts


**Neutral
Changes less than 0.5% are considered neutral


Signals are bullish for the upcoming week. You can check out last weeks report for a comparison.

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