Saturday 30 May 2015

Stock Market Signals for the US and Indian Stock Markets for the Upcoming Week beginning June 1

Indicator
Weekly Level / Change / Significance
Implication for
S & P 500
Implication for Nifty*
S & P 500
2107, -0.88%
Bearish
Bearish
Nifty
8434, -0.30%
Neutral**
Neutral
China Shanghai Index
4612, -0.99%
Bearish
Bearish
Gold
1191, -1.24%
Bearish
Bearish
WTIC Crude
60.23, 0.40%
Neutral
Neutral
Copper
2.73, -2.04%
Bearish
Bearish
Baltic Dry Index
589, 0.51%
Bullish
Bullish
Euro
1.099, -0.231%
Neutral
Neutral
Dollar/Yen
124.13, 2.08%
Bullish
Bullish
Dow Transports
8300, -2.15%
Bearish
Bearish
US 10 year Bond Yield
2.10%, -5.42%
Bullish
Bullish
Nyse Summation Index
175, -36.21%
Bearish
Bearish
US Vix
13.84, 14.10%
Bearish
Bearish
20 DMA, S and P 500
2112, Below
Bearish
Neutral
50 DMA, S and P 500
2099, Above
Bullish
Neutral
200 DMA, S and P 500
2042, Above
Bullish
Neutral
20 DMA, Nifty
8301, Above
Neutral
Bullish
50 DMA, Nifty
8438, Below
Neutral
Bearish
200 DMA, Nifty
8324, Above
Neutral
Bullish
India Vix
16.66, -1.71%
Neutral
Bullish
Dollar/Rupee
63.74, 0.40%
Neutral
Neutral




Overall
 S & P 500
Nifty

Bullish Indications
5
6

Bearish Indications
8
8

Outlook
Bearish
Marginally Bearish

Observation
The Sand P 500 is putting in a short term top while the Nifty outperformed last week. The summation index and transports are implying deteriorating market internals. The Vix is also indicating a topping process in the market.


On the Horizon
Greece, PMI’s from US and UK, Australia (RBA), India (RBI), ECB and UK rate decisions, US and Canada employment data.






*Nifty
India’s Benchmark Stock Index


Raw Data
Courtesy Google finance, Stock charts


**Neutral
Changes less than 0.5% are considered neutral


You can check out last weeks report for a comparison.

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